Wednesday, December 5, 2007

Is it worth it?

Just like the last two seasons, the New York Giants are in great position to reach the NFL playoffs. And just like the last two seasons, the Giants will probably get there.

The only problem is that any chance of Big Blue going deep into the playoffs is slowly diminishing week by week.

Just because the Giants won road games against playoff "contenders" like the Lions and Bears doesn't mean this isn't a repeat of last season's 2nd half collapse. Eli Manning's 2007 quarterback rating of 74.2 is slightly below last season's average of 77, and his last two performances haven't been encouraging.

Sure, it was nice to see Eli recover during the 4th quarter in Chicago and lead the Giants to victory, but is there any evidence that this team can compete with Dallas or Green Bay. An 0-3 record vs. those teams doesn't help the argument.

Also, the Giants are sneaking by teams they ought to be stomping on if they are to consider themselves a serious contender. The defense is the only thing keeping this team in games while Eli struggles to move the offense.

The analysts at Footballoutsiders.com agree. The Giants are ranked 15th in the NFL in total DVOA (Defense-adjusted value over average). Ahead of them are Washington, Philly, and Minnesota.

All signs point to another disappointing first round exit for my beloved G-men. And even if they make it past Tampa Bay or Seattle, it would take a small miracle to defeat Dallas or Green Bay. The Giants' record makes it look like they have a chance at the NFC title game, but their actual performance shows otherwise.

Can things turn around? Sure. A win this week in Philadelphia would help convince me, but it would be a surprise.

So is it worth rooting for the Giants the rest of the year? Sure, why not. They can't be more painful to watch than the Nittany Lions. Having a quarterback that gets better in the fourth quarter makes a big difference.

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